What to Expect from the International Surety Market in 2026

14 April 2026

A Market With Strong Foundations

The international surety market enters 2026 in a position of structural strength. Global surety revenue stands at approximately $20–21 billion, up from $19.6 billion in 2024 and on a trajectory toward $27 billion by 2030. Contract surety — the segment driven by construction and infrastructure activity — remains dominant, with emerging markets accounting for a growing share of incremental demand.

The conditions that have driven growth in recent years remain largely intact. Infrastructure investment pipelines in the GCC, Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America are active and expanding. Interest rates, while expected to moderate gradually, remain above pre-COVID norms, keeping surety economically attractive relative to bank guarantees. And regulatory frameworks in emerging markets continue to develop, opening new territories to formal surety products.

Key Themes to Watch in 2026

1. Morocco's Construction Programme Intensifies

With the 2030 FIFA World Cup now just four years away, Morocco's construction programme is moving from planning to full execution. Stadium construction, airport expansion, rail development, and hospitality infrastructure are all scaling rapidly. The bond and guarantee requirements associated with this pipeline — from performance bonds on major contracts to advance payment bonds on fast-tracked projects — will be significant and sustained throughout the year.

2. Saudi Arabia Continues to Dominate GCC Activity

Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 giga-projects remain the largest single source of construction bond demand in the region. NEOM, Red Sea Global, and associated infrastructure contracts are at various stages of execution and award. The Saudi government's formal integration of surety bond mechanisms into its infrastructure financing framework, announced in early 2025, is expected to generate further growth in the regional market.

3. Southeast Asia Offers Growing Opportunity

Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Malaysia all have active infrastructure pipelines and growing sophistication in their approach to contractual bond requirements. International contractors entering these markets in 2026 will increasingly encounter performance bond requirements that require specialist facilitation to meet.

4. Digitisation Continues to Reshape Issuance

The shift toward digital bond issuance will continue in 2026. For international contractors, this means faster turnaround times and reduced administrative burden in markets where digital bonds are accepted. For markets where paper bonds remain the norm, the practical requirements remain unchanged — but the gap between digital and traditional markets is narrowing.

How Solidum Global Can Help in 2026

As the international surety market continues to grow and develop, the need for specialist facilitation — connecting contractors with appropriate guarantors in the right markets — becomes more rather than less important. Solidum Global is built for precisely this purpose.

If you have a performance bond, advance payment bond, or other contractual guarantee requirement for a project anywhere in our target markets, submit an enquiry today. Our team will review your position and connect you with the right partner.

Reference: Business Research Insights — Global Surety Market Forecast: businessresearchinsights.com/market-reports/surety-market-109947

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